Folks world wide depend on vans to ship the products they want, and so-called long-haul vans play a vital function in these provide chains. In the USA, long-haul vans moved 71% of all freight in 2022. However these long-haul vans are heavy polluters, particularly of the carbon emissions that threaten the worldwide local weather. Based on U.S. Environmental Safety Company estimates, in 2022 greater than 3% of all carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions got here from long-haul vans.
The issue is that long-haul vans run nearly completely on diesel gas, and burning diesel releases excessive ranges of CO2 and different carbon emissions. World demand for freight transport is projected to as a lot as double by 2050, so it’s vital to search out one other supply of power that can meet the wants of long-haul vans whereas additionally lowering their carbon emissions. And conversion to the brand new gas should not be pricey.
“Trucks are an indispensable part of the modern supply chain, and any increase in the cost of trucking will be felt universally,” notes William H. Inexperienced, the Hoyt Hottel Professor in Chemical Engineering and director of the MIT Power Initiative.
For the previous yr, Inexperienced and his analysis workforce have been in search of a low-cost, cleaner various to diesel. Discovering a alternative is tough as a result of diesel meets the wants of the trucking trade so nicely. For one factor, diesel has a excessive power density—that’s, power content material per pound of gas. There is a authorized restrict on the whole weight of a truck and its contents, so utilizing an power supply with a decrease weight permits the truck to hold extra payload—an necessary consideration, given the low revenue margin of the freight trade.
As well as, diesel gas is available at retail refueling stations throughout the nation—a vital useful resource for drivers, who might journey 600 miles in a day and sleep of their truck relatively than returning to their dwelling depot. Lastly, diesel gas is a liquid, so it is easy to distribute to refueling stations after which pump into vans.
Previous research have examined quite a few various know-how choices for powering long-haul vans, however no clear winner has emerged. Now, Inexperienced and his workforce have evaluated the obtainable choices primarily based on constant and lifelike assumptions concerning the applied sciences concerned and the standard operation of a long-haul truck, and assuming no subsidies to tip the price steadiness. Their in-depth evaluation of changing long-haul vans to battery electrical—summarized under—has discovered a excessive value and negligible emissions beneficial properties within the close to time period.
Research of methanol and different liquid fuels from biomass are ongoing, however already a significant concern is whether or not the world can plant and harvest sufficient biomass for biofuels with out destroying the ecosystem. An evaluation of hydrogen—additionally summarized under—highlights particular challenges with utilizing that clean-burning gas, which is a fuel at regular temperatures.
Lastly, the workforce recognized an method that might make hydrogen a promising, low-cost choice for long-haul vans. And, says Inexperienced, “it’s an option that most people are probably unaware of.” It entails a novel manner of utilizing supplies that may decide up hydrogen, retailer it, after which launch it when and the place it is wanted to function a clean-burning gas.
Defining the problem: A practical drive cycle, plus diesel values to beat
The MIT researchers consider that the dearth of consensus on the easiest way to wash up long-haul trucking might have a easy rationalization: Totally different analyses are primarily based on completely different assumptions concerning the driving habits of long-haul vans. Certainly, a few of them do not precisely signify precise long-haul operations. So the primary job for the MIT workforce was to outline a consultant—and lifelike—”drive cycle” for precise long-haul truck operations in the USA. Then the MIT researchers—and researchers elsewhere—can assess potential alternative fuels and engines primarily based on a constant set of assumptions in modeling and simulation analyses.
To outline the drive cycle for long-haul operations, the MIT workforce used a scientific method to investigate many hours of real-world driving information masking 58,000 miles. They examined 10 options and recognized three—day by day vary, car pace, and highway grade—which have the best influence on power demand and thus on gas consumption and carbon emissions. The consultant drive cycle that emerged covers a distance of 600 miles, a median car pace of 55 miles per hour, and a highway grade starting from detrimental 6% to optimistic 6%.
The analysis is revealed within the Transportation Analysis File: Journal of the Transportation Analysis Board.
The following step was to generate key values for the efficiency of the standard diesel “powertrain,” that’s, all of the parts concerned in creating energy within the engine and delivering it to the wheels on the bottom. Primarily based on their outlined drive cycle, the researchers simulated the efficiency of a traditional diesel truck, producing “benchmarks” for gas consumption, CO2 emissions, value, and different efficiency parameters.
Now they might carry out parallel simulations—primarily based on the identical drive-cycle assumptions—of potential alternative fuels and powertrains to see how the price, carbon emissions, and different efficiency parameters would examine to the diesel benchmarks.
The battery electrical choice
When contemplating methods to decarbonize long-haul vans, a pure first thought is battery energy. In spite of everything, battery electrical automobiles and pickup vans are proving extremely profitable. Why not change to battery electrical long-haul vans?
“Again, the literature is very divided, with some studies saying that this is the best idea ever, and other studies saying that this makes no sense,” says Sayandeep Biswas, a graduate scholar in chemical engineering.
To evaluate the battery electrical choice, the MIT researchers used a physics-based car mannequin plus well-documented estimates for the efficiencies of key parts such because the battery pack, mills, motor, and so forth. Assuming the beforehand described drive cycle, they decided working parameters, together with how a lot energy the battery-electric system wants. From there they might calculate the scale and weight of the battery required to fulfill the ability wants of the battery electrical truck.
The end result was disheartening. Offering sufficient power to journey 600 miles with out recharging would require a 2 megawatt-hour battery.
“That’s a lot,” notes Kariana Moreno Sader, a graduate scholar in chemical engineering. “It’s the same as what two U.S. households consume per month on average.”
And the burden of such a battery would considerably scale back the quantity of payload that may very well be carried. An empty diesel truck usually weighs 20,000 kilos. With a authorized restrict of 80,000 kilos, there’s room for 60,000 kilos of payload. The two MWh battery would weigh roughly 27,000 kilos—considerably lowering the allowable capability for carrying payload.
Accounting for that “payload penalty,” the researchers calculated that roughly 4 electrical vans can be required to switch each three of right now’s diesel-powered vans. Moreover, every added truck would require an extra driver. The influence on working bills can be important.
Analyzing the emissions reductions that may consequence from shifting to battery electrical long-haul vans additionally introduced disappointing outcomes. One would possibly assume that utilizing electrical energy would eradicate CO2 emissions. However when the researchers included emissions related to making that electrical energy, that wasn’t true.
“Battery electric trucks are only as clean as the electricity used to charge them,” notes Moreno Sader. More often than not, drivers of long-haul vans shall be charging from nationwide grids relatively than devoted renewable power crops. Based on Power Data Company statistics, fossil fuels make up greater than 60% of the present U.S. energy grid, so electrical vans would nonetheless be accountable for important ranges of carbon emissions. Manufacturing batteries for the vans would generate further CO2 emissions.
Constructing the charging infrastructure would require large upfront capital funding, as would upgrading the present grid to reliably meet further power demand from the long-haul sector. Engaging in these adjustments can be pricey and time-consuming, which raises additional concern about electrification as a way of decarbonizing long-haul freight.
In brief, switching right now’s long-haul diesel vans to battery electrical energy would carry main will increase in prices for the freight trade and negligible carbon emissions advantages within the close to time period. Analyses assuming numerous varieties of batteries in addition to different drive cycles produced comparable outcomes.
Nevertheless, the researchers are optimistic about the place the grid goes sooner or later. “In the long term, say by around 2050, emissions from the grid are projected to be less than half what they are now,” says Moreno Sader. “When we do our calculations based on that prediction, we find that emissions from battery electric trucks would be around 40% lower than our calculated emissions based on today’s grid.”
For Moreno Sader, the purpose of the MIT analysis is to assist “guide the sector on what would be the best option.” With that purpose in thoughts, she and her colleagues are actually inspecting the battery electrical choice below completely different eventualities—for instance, assuming battery swapping (a depleted battery is not recharged however changed by a completely charged one), short-haul trucking, and different purposes that may produce a extra cost-competitive consequence, even for the close to time period.
A promising choice: hydrogen
Because the world seems to get off reliance on fossil fuels for all makes use of, a lot consideration is specializing in hydrogen. May hydrogen be various for right now’s diesel-burning long-haul vans?
To seek out out, the MIT workforce carried out an in depth evaluation of the hydrogen choice. “We thought that hydrogen would solve a lot of the problems we had with battery electric,” says Biswas. It does not have related CO2 emissions. Its power density is much larger, so it does not create the burden drawback posed by heavy batteries.
As well as, present compression know-how can get sufficient hydrogen gas right into a regular-sized tank to cowl the wanted distance and vary. “You can actually give drivers the range they want,” he says. “There’s no issue with ‘range anxiety.'”
However whereas utilizing hydrogen for long-haul trucking would scale back carbon emissions, it could value way over diesel. Primarily based on their detailed evaluation of hydrogen, the researchers concluded that the principle supply of incurred value is in transporting it. Hydrogen will be made in a chemical facility, however then it must be distributed to refueling stations throughout the nation. Conventionally, there have been two primary methods of transporting hydrogen: as a compressed fuel and as a cryogenic liquid.
As Biswas notes, the previous is “super high pressure,” and the latter is “super cold.” The researchers’ calculations present that as a lot as 80% of the price of delivered hydrogen is because of transportation and refueling, plus there’s the necessity to construct devoted refueling stations that may meet new environmental and security requirements for dealing with hydrogen as a compressed fuel or a cryogenic liquid.
Having dismissed the standard choices for transport hydrogen, they turned to a less-common method: transporting hydrogen utilizing “liquid organic hydrogen carriers” (LOHCs), particular natural (carbon-containing) chemical compounds that may below sure circumstances take in hydrogen atoms and below different circumstances launch them.
LOHCs are in use right now to ship small quantities of hydrogen for industrial use. Here is how the method works: In a chemical plant, the service compound is introduced into contact with hydrogen within the presence of a catalyst below elevated temperature and stress, and the compound picks up the hydrogen. The “hydrogen-loaded” compound—nonetheless a liquid—is then transported below atmospheric circumstances. When the hydrogen is required, the compound is once more uncovered to a temperature improve and a unique catalyst, and the hydrogen is launched.
LOHCs thus look like ideally suited hydrogen carriers for long-haul trucking. They’re liquid, to allow them to simply be delivered to present refueling stations, the place the hydrogen can be launched; they usually comprise at the least as a lot power per gallon as hydrogen in a cryogenic liquid or compressed fuel kind. Nevertheless, an in depth evaluation of utilizing hydrogen carriers confirmed that the method would lower emissions however at a substantial value.
The issue begins with the “dehydrogenation” step on the retail station. Releasing the hydrogen from the chemical service requires warmth, which is generated by burning a number of the hydrogen being carried by the LOHC. The researchers calculate that getting the wanted warmth takes 36% of that hydrogen. (In concept, the method would take solely 27%—however in actuality, that effectivity will not be achieved.) So out of each 100 models of beginning hydrogen, 36 models are actually gone.
However that is not all. The hydrogen that comes out is at near-ambient stress. So the ability meting out the hydrogen might want to compress it—a course of that the workforce calculates will dissipate 20-30% of the beginning hydrogen.
Due to the wanted warmth and compression, there’s now lower than half of the beginning hydrogen left to be delivered to the truck—and consequently, the hydrogen gas turns into twice as costly. The underside line is that the know-how works, however “when it comes to really beating diesel, the economics don’t work. It’s quite a bit more expensive,” says Biswas.
As well as, the refueling stations would require costly compressors and auxiliary models akin to cooling programs. The capital funding and the working and upkeep prices collectively suggest that the market penetration of hydrogen refueling stations shall be sluggish.
A greater technique: Onboard launch of hydrogen from LOHCs
Given the potential advantages of utilizing of LOHCs, the researchers targeted on methods to take care of each the warmth wanted to launch the hydrogen and the power wanted to compress it.
“That’s when we had the idea,” says Biswas. “Instead of doing the dehydrogenation [hydrogen release] at the refueling station and then loading the truck with hydrogen, why don’t we just take the LOHC and load that onto the truck?”
Like diesel, LOHC is a liquid, so it is simply transported and pumped into vans at present refueling stations. “We’ll then make hydrogen as it’s needed based on the power demands of the truck—and we can capture waste heat from the engine exhaust and use it to power the dehydrogenation process,” says Biswas.
Of their proposed plan, hydrogen-loaded LOHC is created at a chemical “hydrogenation” plant after which delivered to a retail refueling station, the place it is pumped right into a long-haul truck. Onboard the truck, the loaded LOHC pours into the fuel-storage tank. From there it strikes to the “dehydrogenation unit”—the reactor the place warmth and a catalyst collectively promote chemical reactions that separate the hydrogen from the LOHC. The hydrogen is shipped to the powertrain, the place it burns, producing power that propels the truck ahead.
Scorching exhaust from the powertrain goes to a “heat-integration unit,” the place its waste warmth power is captured and returned to the reactor to assist encourage the response that releases hydrogen from the loaded LOHC. The unloaded LOHC is pumped again into the fuel-storage tank, the place it is stored in a separate compartment to maintain it from mixing with the loaded LOHC. From there, it is pumped again into the retail refueling station after which transported again to the hydrogenation plant to be loaded with extra hydrogen.
Switching to onboard dehydrogenation brings down prices by eliminating the necessity for additional hydrogen compression and by utilizing waste warmth within the engine exhaust to drive the hydrogen-release course of. So how does their proposed technique look in comparison with diesel? Primarily based on an in depth evaluation, the researchers decided that utilizing their technique can be 18% costlier than utilizing diesel, and emissions would drop by 71%.
However these outcomes want some clarification. The 18% value premium of utilizing LOHC with onboard hydrogen launch relies on the worth of diesel gas in 2020. In spring of 2023 the worth was about 30% larger. Assuming the 2023 diesel worth, the LOHC choice is definitely cheaper than utilizing diesel.
Each the price and emissions outcomes are affected by one other assumption: the usage of “blue hydrogen,” which is hydrogen produced from pure fuel with carbon seize and storage. An alternative choice is to imagine the usage of “green hydrogen,” which is hydrogen produced utilizing electrical energy generated from renewable sources, akin to wind and photo voltaic. Inexperienced hydrogen is far more costly than blue hydrogen, so then the prices would improve dramatically.
If sooner or later the worth of inexperienced hydrogen drops, the researchers’ proposed plan would shift to inexperienced hydrogen—after which the decline in emissions would not be 71% however relatively near 100%. There can be nearly no emissions related to the researchers’ proposed plan for utilizing LHOCs with onboard hydrogen launch.
Evaluating the choices on value and emissions
To match the choices, Moreno Sader ready bar charts exhibiting the per-mile value of transport by truck in the USA and the CO2 emissions that consequence utilizing every of the fuels and approaches mentioned above: diesel gas, battery electrical, hydrogen as a cryogenic liquid or compressed fuel, and LOHC with onboard hydrogen launch. The LOHC technique with onboard dehydrogenation regarded promising on each the price and the emissions charts. Along with such quantitative measures, the researchers consider that their technique addresses two different, less-obvious challenges to find a less-polluting gas for long-haul vans.
First, the introduction of the brand new gas and vans to make use of it should not disrupt the present freight-delivery setup.
“You have to keep the old trucks running while you’re introducing the new ones,” notes Inexperienced. “You cannot have even a day when the trucks aren’t running because it’d be like the end of the economy. Your supermarket shelves would all be empty; your factories wouldn’t be able to run.”
The researchers’ plan can be utterly appropriate with the present diesel provide infrastructure and would require comparatively minor retrofits to right now’s long-haul vans, so the present provide chains would proceed to function whereas the brand new gas and retrofitted vans are launched.
Second, the technique has the potential to be adopted globally. Lengthy-haul trucking is necessary in different elements of the world, and Moreno Sader thinks that “making this approach a reality is going to have a lot of impact, not only in the United States but also in other countries,” together with her personal nation of origin, Colombia. “This is something I think about all the time.”
The method is appropriate with the present diesel infrastructure, so the one requirement for adoption is to construct the chemical hydrogenation plant. “And I think the capital expenditure related to that will be less than the cost of building a new fuel-supply infrastructure throughout the country,” says Moreno Sader.
Testing within the lab
“We’ve done a lot of simulations and calculations to show that this is a great idea,” notes Biswas. “But there’s only so far that math can go to convince people.” The following step is to show their idea within the lab.
To that finish, the researchers are actually assembling all of the core parts of the onboard hydrogen-release reactor in addition to the heat-integration unit that is key to transferring warmth from the engine exhaust to the hydrogen-release reactor. They estimate that this spring they’re going to be able to show their means to launch hydrogen and make sure the speed at which it is fashioned. And—guided by their modeling work—they’re going to have the ability to fine-tune vital parts for max effectivity and finest efficiency.
The following step shall be so as to add an applicable engine, specifically geared up with sensors to supply the vital readings they should optimize the efficiency of all their core parts collectively. By the tip of 2024, the researchers hope to realize their purpose: the primary experimental demonstration of a power-dense, strong onboard hydrogen-release system with extremely environment friendly warmth integration.
Within the meantime, they consider that outcomes from their work to this point ought to assist unfold the phrase, bringing their novel method to the eye of different researchers and consultants within the trucking trade who are actually trying to find methods to decarbonize long-haul trucking.
Extra data:
Rob Jones et al, Practical U.S. Lengthy-Haul Drive Cycle for Automobile Simulations, Costing, and Emissions Evaluation, Transportation Analysis File: Journal of the Transportation Analysis Board (2024). DOI: 10.1177/03611981231215672
Massachusetts Institute of Expertise
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