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I wrote the opposite day about Tesla “Full Self Driving” (FSD) reportedly getting a lot better with the 12.5 replace. As I defined in that piece, I usually don’t go by what different persons are saying on this as a result of my historical past with doing that was huge disappointment and a tremendously completely different expertise with FSD after I used it. Nonetheless, on this case, there gave the impression to be broad and goal reward for the replace. Additionally, Tesla has determined to delay updates on older Teslas with out the most recent FSD {hardware}, and my 2019 Mannequin 3 doesn’t have the most recent {hardware}. So, I’m going to be delayed testing the most recent variations of FSD myself.
Whereas preliminary reviews on FSD 12.5 appeared optimistic, one other consumer supplied a brief overview that appears to deliver us again to that “see-saw effect” concept I put on the market years in the past and Elon Musk just lately confirmed. This FSD consumer and CleanTechnica reader famous:
“5.3 is much worse than 5.2. On 5.3 it’s lost the ability to handle highway entrances and exits. On entrances its super hesitant, gotten a lot of angry horns as it just sits there. On exits, it wants to drive right past them. The nav voice knows that it’s an exit, the car has gotten over to the right hand lane so it was preparing for an exit, but when it gets to the exit it tries to drive past it forcing you to take over. It also mishandled a merge where it was supposed to get onto the highway, it tried to take an exit instead of. 5.2 was handling these situations correctly. Hope 5.4 shows up soon.”
Once more, that is one consumer’s expertise. This isn’t everybody’s essentially taking place to everybody, and we don’t know if it’s widespread or uncommon. Nonetheless, it’s a transparent signal that we’ve received one other case of “2 steps forward and 1 step back,” or one thing like that. It’s additionally a case of, “what the heck happened?” Why did the most recent replace all of a sudden trigger this downside?
Due to how a lot FSD has improved this 12 months, I’m a bit extra bullish on Tesla’s method once more. However I proceed to be involved concerning the see-saw impact, particularly as a result of how Tesla is bettering FSD — with neural nets and machine studying. Whereas Waymo’s progress is far slower in some regards, it appears the extra particular, directed, targeted growth course of helps to keep away from such issues — in addition to the broader {hardware} suite.
And that brings us again to my word on the high. I’ve seen another FSD customers in my case getting fairly upset that they’re now not receiving the FSD updates as a result of they don’t have the most recent FSD {hardware}. With this sort of factor, I’m sometimes not that bothered, however on this case, the guarantees round this made so a few years in the past make all of it rather less forgivable. Elon Musk didn’t promise a date for robotaxis again in 2016, as some folks declare, however he did say the {hardware} put in vehicles on the time can be all of the {hardware} wanted for robotaxi functionality, whereas additionally displaying estimates of gross revenue per mile and gross revenue per 12 months from a Tesla robotaxi. Nonetheless, by 2019, he began predicting such robotaxi functionality by “next year.” In my humble opinion, anybody shopping for a automotive from then on, and particularly going again to these 2016 statements and presentation, was “duped” by these statements. Now, a few of these consumers are getting fairly upset, and much more so with FSD updates now not rolling out to them after they roll out to Tesla homeowners with newer FSD {hardware}.
My 2022 Tesla Mannequin S Plaid has FSD and is now value $100k to $200k in keeping with @elonmusk. Wish to purchase it? https://t.co/ZiOgvT66Sy
— Miss Jilianne (@MissJilianne) August 23, 2024
Dangle a carrot, inform them they will eat it “next year” and watch them consider it. pic.twitter.com/BPZnpJQG19
— Miss Jilianne (@MissJilianne) August 22, 2024
Tesla Cultists get up, the brand new FSD doublethink is that you simply’re speculated to consider that @ElonMusk by no means stated that Mannequin 3s would make their homeowners cash as robotaxis!
All people will need to have imagined it. If solely there was a video displaying what Elon promised Mannequin 3 consumers: https://t.co/b5GPYrhKmt pic.twitter.com/VVeTTdvms4
— Dan O’Dowd (@RealDanODowd) August 21, 2024
When will the Tesla Full Self-Driving Software program I paid $15,000 for really make my automotive Full Self-Driving?
— Miss Jilianne (@MissJilianne) August 21, 2024
There are a collection of points above right here, so let me simply summarize with a bullet record:
- Tesla FSD 12.5.3 has made notable enhancements in keeping with some public testers, nevertheless it has additionally made some odd steps backward.
- Tesla homeowners with newer vehicles and the newest FSD {hardware} are actually getting updates a lot before others (and this was introduced earlier by Elon Musk). That stated, everybody within the US with FSD {hardware} constructed into vehicles since mid-2019 ought to nonetheless be getting these updates in time.
- There’s rising concern that claims about robotaxi {hardware}, coming robotaxi progress, and potential for robotaxi business service and income have been all not simply overly optimistic however wildly off the mark and probably even very deceitful.
We’ll proceed protecting the story as extra updates, information, and opinions come out, as now we have achieved since 2015.
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